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PredictionsEndorse2012 Gubernatorial Predictions - James Lay (I-WA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2012-05-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
James Lay MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
James Lay MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep7
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind0
 
Tos2
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-4-4314-4
Rep0+4+4000213+4
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) 2012-06-04 @ 16:14:00 prediction Map
I'd say your map is about right, although I don't think Peter Shumlin will win by as wide a margin as this map suggests.
 By: Oldiesfreak1854 (R-MI) 2012-06-04 @ 16:15:30 prediction Map
I take that back. I just realized that my map has him winning by about the same margin!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 30/35 18/35 48/70 68.6% pie 1 355 306T483
P 2016 President 48/56 23/56 71/112 63.4% pie 1 430 552T678
P 2016 Governor 7/12 5/12 12/24 50.0% pie 1 430 164T279
P 2014 Senate 30/36 18/36 48/72 66.7% pie 2 420 240T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 13/36 43/72 59.7% pie 2 420 192T300
P 2012 President 54/56 40/56 94/112 83.9% pie 9 19 367T760
P 2012 Senate 29/33 19/33 48/66 72.7% pie 3 28 144T343
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 4 11 51T228
P 2010 Senate 32/37 16/37 48/74 64.9% pie 1 11 265T456
P 2010 Governor 33/37 18/37 51/74 68.9% pie 1 11 158T312
Aggregate Predictions 303/349 177/349 480/698 68.8% pie


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