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Data Sets

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Political Posters!
History of the Parties


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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:2

Prediction Map
Ernest Map


* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Ernest Map


Prediction States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep5
 
Ind0
 
Non39
 

Confidence States Won
6 |
11 |
50 |
Dem4
 
pie
Rep4
 
Ind0
 
Tos3
 
Non39
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0000-2-2336-2
Rep0+2+2000213+2
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 8)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
16106
piepiepie

Analysis

Made the following changes from initial prediction for my final prediction.

Missouri from Strong D to Lean D.
Montana from 40% D to 40% R.
New Hampshire from 40% D to 50% D.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T
Aggregate Predictions 377/411 283/411 660/822 80.3% pie



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