PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - Twindad46 (R-IL) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-21 Version:1

Prediction Map
Twindad46 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
Twindad46 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem12
 
pie
Rep24
 
Ind0
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem6
 
pie
Rep18
 
Ind0
 
Tos12
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+10+1-2-1-38311-2
Rep+2+1+3-10-118321+2
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Walker in Wisconsin survives yet again. Rauner narrowly defeats Quinn in Illinois. Hickenlooper gets re-elected only because Colorado's election will be conducted entirely by mail. Rick Scott in Florida could have been defeated if the Democrats had chosen just about any candidate other than Charlie Christ. Wendy Davis goes back to the obscurity she so richly deserves after one of the worst gubernatorial campaigns ever. Surprise of the night will be Baker defeating Coakley in Massachusetts. Coakley finally figures out that they're just not that into her.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2020 President 44/56 36/56 80/112 71.4% pie 2 332 627T684
P 2018 Senate 32/35 21/35 53/70 75.7% pie 3 6 132T483
P 2016 President 54/56 34/56 88/112 78.6% pie 7 0 27T678
P 2014 Senate 34/36 18/36 52/72 72.2% pie 6 2 177T382
P 2014 Governor 32/36 13/36 45/72 62.5% pie 2 2 145T300
P 2012 President 45/56 36/56 81/112 72.3% pie 7 4 670T760
P 2012 Senate 24/33 11/33 35/66 53.0% pie 1 4 307T343
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 4/52 39/104 37.5% pie 1 - 111T231
P 2010 Senate 33/37 22/37 55/74 74.3% pie 4 2 133T456
Aggregate Predictions 333/397 195/397 528/794 66.5% pie


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