Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-10-25 Version:5

Prediction Map

polnut Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

polnut Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	9
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	13
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+5	0	+5	0	-2	-2	10	2	12	+3
Rep	0	+2	+2	-6	0	-6	13	3	16	-4
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	47/56	21/56	68/112	60.7%		9	2	590	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	19/34	49/68	72.1%		4	10	120	T	362
2014 Senate	32/36	20/36	52/72	72.2%		12	1	177	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%		6	4	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		3	27	146	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		2	40	164	T	343
2010 Senate	35/37	21/37	56/74	75.7%		2	18	116	T	456
2008 President	51/56	39/56	90/112	80.4%		8	10	219	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	21/33	53/66	80.3%		2	2	57	T	407
2008 Dem Primary	45/52	27/52	72/104	69.2%		12	-	7	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	37/49	4/49	41/98	41.8%		10	-	91	T	235
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	19/33	52/66	78.8%		5	4	113	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	13/36	48/72	66.7%		3	0	157	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	493/547	277/547	770/1094	70.4%

User Info

polnut Forum Profile

Links

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