Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-05-26 Version:2

Prediction Map

dnul222 Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

dnul222 Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	15
Rep	21
Ind	0
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	10
Rep	18
Ind	0
Tos	8
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	-1	-1	-2	9	2	11	+2
Rep	+1	+1	+2	-3	0	-3	16	3	19	-1
Ind	0	0	0	-1	0	-1	0	0	0	-1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
47	31	16

Analysis

Mostly trading seats as people are frustrated with local politics, close elections in Ohio, Wisconsin and Michigan return incumbents.<br /> <br />

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2014-05-26 @ 06:15:03
It will be interesting to watch trends in these states: WI, MI and OH.....where partisan divide has been great.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President	50/56	16/56	66/112	58.9%		8	1	614	T	678
2016 Senate	32/34	11/34	43/68	63.2%		8	0	317	T	362
2014 Senate	32/36	16/36	48/72	66.7%		19	13	240	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	16/36	47/72	65.3%		2	162	97	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	229	1	T	153
2012 President	54/56	30/56	84/112	75.0%		46	2	630	T	760
2012 Senate	31/33	7/33	38/66	57.6%		8	3	283	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		1	78	157	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	26/52	4/52	30/104	28.8%		1	-	154	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	11/37	45/74	60.8%		50	7	306	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	18/37	52/74	70.3%		26	6	143	T	312
2008 President	53/56	24/56	77/112	68.8%		83	1	625	T	1,505
2008 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%		4	122	281	T	407
2008 Governor	9/11	5/11	14/22	63.6%		1	286	212	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	427/490	179/490	606/980	61.8%

Links

	Gubernatorial Predictions - Most Recent
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