Election 2014 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-04 Version:4

Prediction Map

albaleman Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

albaleman Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	17
Rep	18
Ind	1
Non	14

Confidence States Won

		19 \|	36 \|	50 \|
Dem	11
Rep	14
Ind	0
Tos	11
Non	14

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+4	0	+4	0	-1	-1	10	3	13	+3
Rep	0	+1	+1	-5	0	-5	14	3	17	-4
Ind	+1	0	+1	0	0	0	0	0	0	+1

Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
46	30	16

Analysis

Minnesota:<br /><br /> <br /><br /> Mark Dayton 50%<br /><br /> Jeff Johnson 43%<br /> MN State House: 69 GOP, 65 DFL

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2024 President	/56	/56	/112	%						245
2022 Senate	32/35	27/35	59/70	84.3%		5	7	69	T	305
2022 Governor	32/36	27/36	59/72	81.9%		4	17	88	T	272
2020 President	54/56	52/56	106/112	94.6%		1	212	1	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	27/35	58/70	82.9%		1	210	12	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%		1	212	10	T	293
2018 Senate	33/35	24/35	57/70	81.4%		4	24	24	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	18/36	50/72	69.4%		1	306	226	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		2	1	1	T	149
2016 President	51/56	29/56	80/112	71.4%		14	0	246	T	678
2016 Senate	31/34	19/34	50/68	73.5%		7	0	89	T	362
2016 Governor	9/12	5/12	14/24	58.3%		3	0	67	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	1/3	3/6	50.0%		1	123	57	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	23/36	55/72	76.4%		8	0	122	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	16/36	46/72	63.9%		4	0	123	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		1	34	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	44/56	99/112	88.4%		42	2	146	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	22/33	52/66	78.8%		7	2	74	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%		2	2	131	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	23/52	68/104	65.4%		41	-	13	T	231
2011 Governor	4/4	2/4	6/8	75.0%		11	1	12	T	106
2010 Senate	35/37	27/37	62/74	83.8%		108	0	21	T	456
2010 Governor	34/37	26/37	60/74	81.1%		59	0	45	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	597/655	428/655	1025/1310	78.2%

User Info

	albaleman Forum Profile
	albaleman Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

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