PredictionsEndorse2014 Gubernatorial Predictions - nolesfan2011 (O-GA) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2014-11-03 Version:1

Prediction Map
nolesfan2011 MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
nolesfan2011 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem15
 
pie
Rep20
 
Ind1
 
Non14
 

Confidence States Won
19 |
36 |
50 |
Dem11
 
pie
Rep15
 
Ind0
 
Tos10
 
Non14
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem+40+4-1-2-39211+1
Rep+1+2+3-50-514317-2
Ind+10+1000000+1


Prediction Score (max Score = 72)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
35305
piepiepie

Analysis

Notable indie/3rd party showings predicted.<br /> <br /> FL: Wylie (L) over 5% <br /> GA: Hunt (L) 4%<br /> HI: Hannemann (I) under 10%<br /> KS: Umbehr (L) 5%<br /> ME: Cutler (I) under 10%<br /> MA: Other under 5%<br /> NY: Hawkins (G) over 10%<br /> RI: Healey (M) over 10%<br /> <br /> final Gov race ratings.<br /> Safe R: NV, ID, WY, NM, NE, OK, SD, IA, TX, AL, TN, SC, OH<br /> Likely R: AZ<br /> Lean R: AR<br /> Safe D: CA, NY, PA, VT<br /> Tilt R: MA<br /> Likely D: HI, OR, MN<br /> Lean D: MD, NH, RI<br /> Tilt D: IL<br /> Toss-Up: AK, CO, KS, FL, WI, MI, ME, CT<br /> Runoff (Toss-Up/Tilt R): GA<br /> Wisconsin, Colorado, Alaska, Florida, Maine, Michigan and Connecticut are all tight as a tick, and could very well go to recounts.<br />


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Governor 33/36 27/36 60/72 83.3% pie 1 3 18T372
P 2016 President 50/56 31/56 81/112 72.3% pie 1 0 194T678
P 2016 Senate 29/34 11/34 40/68 58.8% pie 1 0 345T362
P 2016 Governor 10/12 8/12 18/24 75.0% pie 1 0 3T279
P 2014 Senate 32/36 12/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 1 288T382
P 2014 Governor 30/36 5/36 35/72 48.6% pie 1 1 281T300
P 2013 Governor 1/2 1/2 2/4 50.0% pie 1 165 98T153
Aggregate Predictions 185/212 95/212 280/424 66.0% pie



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