Election 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2015-11-25 Version:3

Prediction Map

jerryarkansas Map

Prediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

jerryarkansas Map

Confidence Key

Prediction States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	7
Rep	5
Ind	0
Non	38

Confidence States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	3
Rep	2
Ind	0
Tos	7
Non	38

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+2	0	+2	-1	-2	-3	4	1	5	-1
Rep	+1	+2	+3	-2	0	-2	2	0	2	+1
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%		1	56	48	T	118
2020 President	53/56	43/56	96/112	85.7%		2	21	130	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%		1	23	194	T	423
2019 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%		1	45	1	T	192
2018 Senate	33/35	20/35	53/70	75.7%		1	1	132	T	483
2018 Governor	29/36	16/36	45/72	62.5%		1	3	295	T	372
2017 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		1	116	1	T	149
2016 President	47/56	28/56	75/112	67.0%		5	142	440	T	678
2016 Senate	28/34	13/34	41/68	60.3%		3	142	336	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	3/12	11/24	45.8%		4	142	223	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%		4	0	8	T	112
2014 Senate	34/36	18/36	52/72	72.2%		24	2	177	T	382
2014 Governor	31/36	13/36	44/72	61.1%		12	2	171	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%		4	1	17	T	153
2012 President	50/56	41/56	91/112	81.3%		2	10	466	T	760
2012 Senate	26/33	11/33	37/66	56.1%		1	7	291	T	343
Aggregate Predictions	379/437	237/437	616/874	70.5%

User Info

	jerryarkansas Forum Profile
	jerryarkansas Gubernatorial Endorsements

Links

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