Election 2016 Gubernatorial Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2016-10-28 Version:2

Prediction Map

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	8
Rep	4
Ind	0
Non	38

Confidence States Won

		7 \|	12 \|	50 \|
Dem	5
Rep	3
Ind	0
Tos	4
Non	38

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total	Inc.	Open	Total
Dem	+1	+1	+2	0	-2	-2	3	3	6	0
Rep	0	+2	+2	-1	-1	-2	1	1	2	0
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 24)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
13	8	5

Analysis

Delaware: John Carney Indiana: John Gregg Missouri: Eric Greitens Montana: Steve Bullock New Hampshire: Colin Van Ostern North Carolina: Roy Cooper North Dakota: Doug Burgum Oregon: Kate Brown Utah: Gary Herbert Vermont: Sue Minter Washington: Jay Inslee West Virgina: Bill Cole Bonus predictions American Samoa: Lolo Matalasi Moliga Puerto Rico: Ricky Rosselo

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	40	49	T	115
2020 President	50/56	43/56	93/112	83.0%	2	14	260	T	684
2020 Senate	31/35	21/35	52/70	74.3%	1	41	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	33	147	T	293
2018 Senate	30/35	19/35	49/70	70.0%	8	1	272	T	483
2018 Governor	31/36	27/36	58/72	80.6%	10	3	56	T	372
2016 President	45/56	27/56	72/112	64.3%	1	11	527	T	678
2016 Senate	30/34	15/34	45/68	66.2%	2	11	277	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	5/12	13/24	54.2%	2	11	119	T	279
Aggregate Predictions	239/278	165/278	404/556	72.7%