PredictionsEndorse2017 Gubernatorial Predictions - TheLeftwardTide (D-MD) ResultsPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2017-08-30 Version:2

Prediction Map
TheLeftwardTide MapPrediction Key

* = Pickup via defeat of incumbent; ^ = Pickup of an open seat

Confidence Map
TheLeftwardTide MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
1 |
2 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep0
 
Ind0
 
Non48
 

Confidence States Won
1 |
2 |
50 |
Dem2
 
pie
Rep0
 
Ind0
 
Tos0
 
Non48
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total Inc. Open Total
Dem0+1+1000011+1
Rep0000-1-1000-1
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Standard prediction; the general consensus of the forum. I see Murphy winning in the high 50s by double-digit margins, possibly breaking the 60% mark, but less likely than not. Northam probably wins by ~5% to Gillespie, almost certainly gaining a majority of the vote.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2018 Senate 30/35 17/35 47/70 67.1% pie 1 356 334T483
P 2018 Governor 32/36 22/36 54/72 75.0% pie 1 350 148T372
P 2017 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 70 1T149
Aggregate Predictions 64/73 41/73 105/146 71.9% pie



New Jersey Virginia Virginia

Back to 2017 Gubernatorial Prediction Home - Predictions Home


Terms of Use - DCMA Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

© Dave Leip's Atlas of U.S. Elections, LLC 2019 All Rights Reserved