Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-09 Version:1

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	311
Rep	227
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	255
Rep	180
Ind	0
Tos	103

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+6	0	+59	0	0	0	20	2	252	+59
Rep	0	0	0	-6	0	-59	25	3	227	-59
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
90	48	37	4	1

Analysis

So, yeah, time to get in one the predictions lark. Not that this is a very good prediction, or even much of a prediction. A little... generic, almost. A little... safe and conservative (with a small c). But maybe that'll change with time. Still almost a month to go after all. Tempted to flip WV red just because it looks prettier in that colour. Maybe next time.

Member Comments

By: Evilmexican (D-ID) 2008-10-14 @ 23:02:49
Just curious, why is Arizon a lean?

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	38/56	90/112	80.4%	1	26	219	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	18/33	50/66	75.8%	3	9	156	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	22/36	56/72	77.8%	3	1	58	T	312
2004 President	54/56	38/56	92/112	82.1%	10	1	126	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	172/181	116/181	288/362	79.6%

Links

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