PredictionsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Aizen (D-CO) ResultsPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-10-19 Version:13

Prediction Map
Aizen MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Aizen MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem367
 
Rep171
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem349
 
Rep168
 
Ind0
 
Tos21
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+100+115000202252+115
Rep000-100-115213171-115
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
96484143
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - hide

Version: 11

Obama vs McCain. A scenario where Obama could win without winning PA and OH


Version: 10

Obama vs Huckabee. I know I'm probably being generous with Suckabee, but I am, by nature, a pessimist. Yes, I believe states like Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland will go 60=% for Obama. Tax Hike Mike and is refusal to believe in evolution is going to get him KILLED up in the Northeast. Economically conservative, crusty yankees will not support Huckabee. Huckabee does about the same in the South and the plain states. Those states are the ones that worry about "family values." The West Huckabee will do absolutely terrible too. The West has some of the highest amount of non-religious people so Huckabee's religious bonus will have no effect out here. Plus, Obama is a great state for the West. Hillary, no, Obama, yes. Just look at the fundraising numbers. NV, NM and CO all go Dem and MT, AZ, Idaho, WY all take a strong swing toward the Dems. Lastly Ohio... Obama actually isn't a great candidate for there and Huckabee would appeal to the "boonies" out there. Obama loses it in a close one but it turns out he doesn't need it.


Version: 2

I think Vermont, RI and New York can get above 60% next election as the Northeast trends even more against the Republicans - they were close to breaching 60% in 2004. I also don't think Texas will get above 60% since Bush won't be the nominee.


Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank#Pred
P 2008 President 52/56 44/56 96/112 85.7% pie 13 16 74T1,505
P 2008 Senate 31/33 19/33 50/66 75.8% pie 4 5 117T407
P 2008 Governor 11/11 9/11 20/22 90.9% pie 2 5 9T264
P 2008 Dem Primary 46/52 26/52 72/104 69.2% pie 6 - 7T271
P 2008 Rep Primary 21/49 9/49 30/98 30.6% pie 2 - 128T235
P 2007 Governor 3/3 1/3 4/6 66.7% pie 2 113 102T167
Aggregate Predictions 164/204 108/204 272/408 66.7% pie


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