Comments History
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hideVersion: 10
Obama vs. McCain.
I welcome any comments about my map, as long as they are respectful and analytical.
Whatcha think????
Version: 9
Hillary Clinton (D) vs. John McCain (R)
Oklahoma doesn't like McCain that much, even though he may win our primary. They like Clinton better, so thats why I have them in the red column.
McCain may very well win Pennsylvania, but lose Ohio.
Minnesota and Wisconsin are now lean Democrat, and not toss-up Democrat
Arkansas, Missouri, West Virginia, and Nevada are toss-up Democrat
North Carolina, Tennessee, Virginia, and Kentucky are lean-Republican, not strong Republican
Colorado and New Mexico stay with McCain, and I may put Nevada in his column, as well.
Version: 8
Obama vs. McCain
Version: 7
Christmas 2007 Prediction:
The only change is I'm putting Oklahoma back to a Republican Toss-Up. I think it will easily be a toss-up, and could go to the Democrats, but I think it will be a very close Republican win, probably in the mold of 1976 when Carter lost with nearly 49% of the vote.
Version: 5
Oklahoma will be competitive in 2008, its a Republican toss-up.
Giuliani will have a tough time carrying West Virginia, so its a Democrat Toss-Up.
Iowa can go either way right now. I've got it as a Democratic Toss-Up, but I'm not very confident on that at all.
Version: 3
Late October Update:
Oklahoma is lean-Republican.
Colorado, Iowa, and Virginia are now GOP toss-ups.
New Mexico goes Democrat.
New Hampshire is now lean-Democrat given its leftward shift.
The Republican will not get 70% in any state.
The Democrat will get 70% in Vermont and Massachusetts
The Democrat will get 80% in the District of Columbia.
This is a very narrow win for the Democrats, closer than Bush over Kerry in 2004, and not too much wider than Bush over Gore in 2000.
Version: 2
I may be giving too much credit to the Democrats, but this is how I see it. I'm giving each candidate 200 EV's to start.
I am a believer in the Democratic trend in the Southwest, including New Mexico, Colorado, and Nevada.
I just saw some SurveyUSA polls that lead me to put Oklahoma in kind of a "lean-republican-toss-up" spot.
Missouri will be a toss up leaning Democrat.
With no Bush on the ballot, Texas will go less than 60% for the Republican.
With all the trouble with Sen. Ted Stevens in Alaska, I dropped them a notch.
I'm seeing more evidence of Michigan staying Democrat, though I am putting them in a leaning state. That is up from a toss-up that I had them in my earlier prediction.
I'm thinking the Kansas City metro will become even more Democratic and thus I dropped the state of Kansas from >60% to >50%.
With the unpopularity of the Iraq War, Vermont and Massachusetts will go >70% for the Democrat.
New Hampshire is trending leftward, so I'm putting them lean Democrat.
Maine is probably leaning Democrat, though I have the 2nd CD as toss-up.
Version: 1
This is based on Rudy Guiliani vs. Barack Obama.