See previous comment - "update" consists of the correction of an error, and one genuine change, both to R shades.

Whatever, it's final calls time. Moved a lot of races into strong - basically what's not in strong now is a state I wouldn't be much surprised to go the other way. What's in tossups is only states I wouldn't be surprised at all if they go the other way. Note that strong Obama is over 270 EVs - this election is over.

So it seems I'm confident of an Obama win now... so it seems... and for now I am...

First update since the VP picks.

Old one was far too pessimistic.

Had to be done. No point having a Clinton vs Giuliani map clutter the database any longer. I wanted to wait until Clinton drops out before putting up the new map, but seeing as the Republican Party seems to have created itself a Clinton Zombie that keeps running and running and running...

Hilary vs Giuliani. Yeah, it's not a coincidence that confidence dem is over 270. I don't really see a more than theoretical chance for the Reps to retain the White House in 2008.

Eh... first draft.
I notice that almost all the states marked as tossups are Dem tossups, which is obviously not as a prediction should be.

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