PredictionsNewsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - tmthforu94 (R-KS) ResultsForumPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:67

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem261
 
Rep277
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem224
 
Rep160
 
Ind0
 
Tos154
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+40+30-10-21192231+9
Rep+10+21-40-30273256-9
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
85453442
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Well, I was wrong.
Sorry for the wrong prediction everyone!!!


My final Prediction. Pennyslvania will go for McCain. Obama hasn't done enough to draw enough Clinton Democrats over to his side. McCain has flooded the news in Pennyslvania, and due to his many stops there, has made it favorable for him.

National Results
McCain/Palin-49.56%
Obama/Biden-49.40%
Other-1.04%

Pennslvania Analysis
McCain has done lots of campaigning there, and has shown that he really cares about the people from the Keystone State. That will be important to many people, and will make them feel important. McCain will win, but it will be very close.

Virginia Analysis
Obama has done enough. He has spent enough money in this state. They say money can't win election. Well, money can certainly win important states. Hillary wouldn't have won Virginia.

Colorado Analysis
This will be a big suprise. McCain had more name recognition going into this, which automatically gave him an advantage. I expcept Republicans to come out in magnitudes in this state, giving McCain the edge.

Ohio Analysis
This has always been a close state, and this election will be no exception. This state will probably even have a recount.

Indiana Analysis
People will expect this state to be really close, but being from Indiana, I don't think it will be quite as close as expected.

State by State Results
Alabama- 61-38%
Alaska- 62-37%
Arizona- 53-46%
Arkansas- 56-44%
California- 59-40%
Colorado-49-49%
Connecticut- 59-40%
Delaware-59-40%
Florida-49-49%
Georgia-51-48%
Hawaii-61-38%
Idaho-69-29%
Illinois-60-39%
Indiana-52-47%
Iowa-53-46%
Kansas-56-43%
Kentucky-56-43&
Louisiana-55-44&
Maine-52-47%
Maryland-56-43%
Massachusetts-61-38%
Michigan-51-48%
Minnesota-50-49%
Mississippi-53-46%
Missouri49-49%
Montana-53-46%
Nebraska-60-39%
Nevada-49-49%
New Hampshire-50-49%
New Jersey-53-46%
New Mexico-51-48%
New York-61-38%
North Carolina-49-49%
North Dakota-51-48%
Ohio-49-49%
Oklahoma-64-35%
Oregon-56-43%
Pennsylvania-49-49%
Rhode Island-61-38%
South Carolina-52-47%
South Dakota-53-46%
Tennessee-55-44%
Texas-56-43%
Utah-69-29%
Vermont-62-37%
Virginia-49-49%
Washington-53-46%
West Virginia-53-46%
Wisconsin-52-47%
Wyoming-69-30%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2008-11-03 @ 21:37:04
It's been fun making predictions with you all.
May the best candidate win!
(It looks like Obama will end up being picked to win Nevada on here. That state has changed in a hurry!)
prediction Map

 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2008-11-06 @ 15:41:07
Well, I was wrong.
My final thoughts
We were so close to wins in Ohio, Florida, and North Carolina. Looking at the results, we should have campaigned harder in Minnesota and Iowa. Virginia suprised me. I didn't think it would be that close. The 3 western Obama states disappointed me by margin.
prediction Map

 By: CR (--MO) 2008-11-06 @ 19:30:52
Don't worry tmthforu, I was wrong too. Sometimes you get 'em right and sometimes you get 'em wrong. Best we can be is good sports. I thought the election would go a different direction, or if Obama won it would be much closer. But I misread the signs, probably influenced by GOP leaning Missouri. At least I got to keep my home state, I was very suprised by yours.

Well now we regroup and get ready for a come back. Always look to the future. We have an intact filibuster and did not get hurt nearly as bad as I feared in the congress. But its all on the Democrats now. Let's see them govern for a while. Hell we where gone in four years time they could suffer a similar fate. We'll see.

Good to talk with you and stay strong. We'll be back.
prediction Map

 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2008-11-07 @ 12:21:25
We can only pray for a Democrat tumble, for the sake of America. lolprediction Map

 By: FiveSenses99 (--MO) 2008-11-07 @ 13:12:53
lol. you guys just don 't get it. YOU WERE WRONG BECAUSE YOU IGNORE REALITY AND FACTS. and you were not CLOSE in Minnesota and you had NO SHOT AT WINNING.

And tmth, if you don't like our new president, and America, MOVE OUT OF THE COUNTRY AND MOVE TO CHINA! ;)

Last Edit: 2008-11-07 @ 13:13:18
prediction Map

 By: wingindy (D-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 14:35:25
"Intact fillibuster": On how many issues are all 40 GOP Senators(or 40 of 43, if the GOP is extremely lucky in 'overtime'*), including Collins, Snow, and Spector, going to agree to impose a fillibuster? Very few.

*The 60 votes to achieve a fillibuster proof majority are still achievable. Coleman now leads by around 200 votes. Stevens by 3000, with Tens of Thousands to be counted. And Chambliss needs to survive a runoff, with president-elect Obama stumping for Martin. Chances are good the Dems. end up with 59, IMHO.

Tmth - where from? Let me guess: DuBois County?
prediction Map

 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2008-11-28 @ 18:59:16
http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/18661488/vid/24982160prediction Map

 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2009-02-15 @ 19:16:25
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Minnie_Mouseprediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 302/334 202/334 504/668 75.4% pie


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