PredictionsNewsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - CardinalWraith (D-CA) ResultsForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Advertisements

History Posters!
History of the Parties


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed


Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:13

Prediction Map
CardinalWraith Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
CardinalWraith Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem353
 
Rep185
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem291
 
Rep163
 
Ind0
 
Tos84
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+80+101000202252+101
Rep000-80-101233185-101
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
99504243
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final map. If Obama has a good night, then Missouri and Indiana should flip to him. Anything beyond that seems unlikely though not impossible...though admittedly somewhat storybooky.

Unless polling throughout this cycle has been systemically flawed, either because of Bradley effects or incorrect turnout models, or Democratic complacency plagues the electorate, Barack Obama will be the 44th President of the United States.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: DasKaek (I-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 13:29:11
Crie my friendprediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2008 President 54/56 45/56 99/112 88.4% pie 13 0 26T
P 2004 President 52/56 30/56 82/112 73.2% pie 13 1 1036T
Aggregate Predictions 106/112 75/112 181/224 80.8% pie


Back to 2008 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Ad: History Posters! - History of the Political Parties II


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

© David Leip 2003 All Rights Reserved