Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:12

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	265
Rep	273
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	212
Rep	195
Ind	0
Tos	131

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+4	0	+34	-1	0	-21	19	2	231	+13
Rep	+1	0	+21	-4	0	-34	27	3	252	-13
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
82	45	31	4	2

Analysis

I have to hope there is a chance. Socialism has destroyed every economy in the course of economic history. It won't work here. I don't know why people are voting for Socialism. It will break the back of this country.

G-d bless the Republic of Texas

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: darthpi (D-PA) 2008-11-04 @ 16:55:59
Because...it's not socialism? And the voters realize that.

By: TX_1824 (C-TX) 2008-11-04 @ 17:22:41
Because it is socialism. They want to take from the top earners and distribute it to the lower earners. Obama said that less then 6% of the earners in this country make more than $96,000 a year. He wants to raise taxes on them and "spread it around". Redistribution?! G-d bless the Republic of Texas

By: nyquil_man (D-AR) 2008-11-06 @ 18:51:12
You can call it "redistribution" if you like. The fact is, the federal income tax has always been a progressive tax. And no, it hasn't destroyed the country. Did "socialism" destroy this country in the 30s, 40s, 50s, 60s, and 70s, when the wealthiest Americans paid at rates of anywhere from 63-91%? Did "socialism" break this country's back during the Reagan years, when the top rate was 50%? The current tax rate for the highest income bracket is 35%. Obama proposes lifting that rate to its level during the Clinton years, which is about 39-40%. It says a lot about your idea of "socialism" that you think reducing by 11% the rate paid during the first six years of Reagan's term is a form of it.

By: palinode (--CA) 2008-11-08 @ 15:55:17
Calling Obama a socialist is ABSURD. You REALLY should research socialism. The Socialist Candidate for President, who like me, IS a socialist... would argue that if you receive millions in major donations from MAJOR CORPORATIONS, you do NOT qualify as someone who is ANTI-capitalist. cough I don't care what his tax relief plan sounds like to you. It's NO WHERE NEAR SOCIALIST POLICY. I WISH IT WAS!!!

By: Bruinspolisci (D-CA) 2008-11-09 @ 09:59:16
Actually, Socialism is state ownership of the means of production and corporations or government-mandated services on the private sectors. Unfortuantely for Republicans, the greatest movement to socailism, since the New Deal, has occurred under the Bush administration (The capital investments and purchasing of the prime stock options in banks and the medicare extentions program are two prime examples.

By: Tokar (D-VA) 2008-11-11 @ 00:56:33
Fail...PA went to Obama by 10 points. Ouch.

By: Liberallover (-NY) 2008-11-11 @ 21:26:30
Guys, guys. You didn't get the memo? McCarthyism is the new patriotism!

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	49/56	33/56	82/112	73.2%	12	0	442	T	1,505
2007 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	147	102	T	167
2004 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	17	1	359	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	105/115	69/115	174/230	75.7%

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