PredictionsNewsMock2008 Presidential Predictions - Liberallover (D-NY) ResultsForumPolls
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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:79

Prediction Map
Liberallover Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Liberallover Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem376
 
Rep162
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem291
 
Rep141
 
Ind0
 
Tos106
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+10+1+124000202252+124
Rep000-10-1-124212162-124
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
96503952
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final Answer:
OBAMAO8


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Liberallover (D-NY) 2008-11-06 @ 23:45:30
It's lookin like Obama will win Omaha. But what's up with Missouri? 5,000 votes? Some bellwether! prediction Map

 By: wingindy (D-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 00:39:19
Great job on Omaha. Vigo County (Terre Haute) overshoots a bit: 57-41 Obama, but retains its bellweather status, having supported the winner every year since 1960,prediction Map

 By: DasKaek (I-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 13:36:31
Thanks for the comments - you didn't do too bad yourself! Only missing (and maybe not even) MO

I didn't pick MO for Obama because I feel like the state's demographics have been trending redder since 2004. The late polls tightened there rapidly as well. Still it may still go for him. They're not done counting the votes. As for Omaha and Indiana, I felt like Indiana could very well go blue but I decided to be a little conservative with my prediction (seeing as this state is fairly red). I thought Omaha would be juuuust out of reach. I guess I was wrong (thankfully).

Last Edit: 2008-11-07 @ 13:37:14
prediction Map

 By: wingindy (D-IN) 2008-11-07 @ 18:23:20
Ohio is the new Missouri (bellweather), which will be comfirmed for McCain next week. The Omaha paper has called NE-02 for Obama. Liberalover, from what I've seen, you and Demboy are the only ones who have NE-02 and everything but Missouri right, Rock is the only one with MO + IN right. How will Liep score a CD - the same as a state? If so, I think the three of you are tied for top spot.prediction Map

 By: tetanurae (D-WA) 2008-11-09 @ 15:14:26
Nice map. I think a lot of people get "so close" but Missouri threw a wrench into the works.prediction Map

 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-11-09 @ 15:23:41
Even percentage-wise, this is a pretty good map. Excellent job. There was no way to foresee that Obama would take NC and IN yet lose MO. This is just election day random.prediction Map

 By: wingindy (D-IN) 2008-11-09 @ 17:29:09
Whoblizall also has MO + IN correct, and incredible percentages. The four of you are top dogs, I beleive.prediction Map

 By: whoblitzell (I-JPN) 2008-11-10 @ 04:12:19
McCain was performing better in Missouri than many other states such as Ohio and NC for months, that was the deciding factor in why I gave it to him.

Indiana going Obama was more of a gut feeling on my part. I am still shocked he actually won here.
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2012 President 55/56 43/56 98/112 87.5% pie 46 1 182T
P 2012 Senate 33/33 21/33 54/66 81.8% pie 11 1 40T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 3 43 24T
P 2010 Senate 36/37 19/37 55/74 74.3% pie 53 7 133T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 20/37 55/74 74.3% pie 12 1 118T
P 2008 President 55/56 41/56 96/112 85.7% pie 79 0 74T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 10 24 204T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 144 152T
P 2008 Dem Primary 6/52 3/52 9/104 8.7% pie 2 - 235T
Aggregate Predictions 271/326 177/326 448/652 68.7% pie


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