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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:9

Prediction Map
Antonio V Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Antonio V Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem353
 
Rep185
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem286
 
Rep132
 
Ind0
 
Tos120
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+80+101000202252+101
Rep000-80-101233185-101
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
99504243
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Antonio V (D-CA) 2008-11-07 @ 12:13:55
So my prediction was right for 50 of 51 sates ( Obama wins Indiana ! :D ).
Thanks to fivethirtyeight.com for it's projections.

Last Edit: 2008-11-07 @ 12:57:31		prediction Map
 By: Antonio V (D-CA) 2008-12-21 @ 04:21:49
81,1%...
That's not a bad score ! :)		prediction Map
 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-12-22 @ 16:56:59
Especially if you consider that it should be divided by 112 and not 122 (give it a try...). So it should be, off the top of my head, more like 88%.prediction Map
 By: Antonio V (D-CA) 2008-12-27 @ 08:08:40
That's true. 51 States and 5 districts. So I have 88,4%.
But why is the score divided by 122 instead of 112 ?

Last Edit: 2008-12-27 @ 08:13:18		prediction Map
 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2009-01-02 @ 14:00:40
Because the website administrator knows more about politics than about maths...
:-)		prediction Map
 By: Antonio V (D-CA) 2009-01-03 @ 04:34:13
Ok, thanks. :)prediction Map

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 48/56 104/112 92.9% pie 15 0 13T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 19/33 50/66 75.8% pie 11 0 111T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 2 31 24T
P 2012 Rep Primary 44/52 23/52 67/104 64.4% pie 27 - 16T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 19 0 21T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 24/37 59/74 79.7% pie 10 0 59T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 12 92T
P 2008 President 54/56 45/56 99/112 88.4% pie 9 0 26T
P 2008 Senate 33/33 27/33 60/66 90.9% pie 5 0 1T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 4/11 14/22 63.6% pie 1 5 212T
Aggregate Predictions 309/328 225/328 534/656 81.4% pie


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