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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:79

Prediction Map
Ernest Map

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Ernest Map

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages


Final prediction: Changes since last prediction

Arizona R Strong to R Lean
California D 50% to D 60%
Delaware D 50% to D 60%
Florida D 50% to D 40%
Georgia R Lean to R Tossup
Indiana R 50% to R 40%
Montana R Lean to R Tossup
Maine-AL D Lean to D Strong
Maine-2 D Lean to D Strong
Nevada D 40% to D 50%
New Hampshire D Lean to D Strong
New York D 50% to D 60%
North Dakota R 50% to R 40%
Nebraska-1 R Strong to R Lean
Nebraska-2 R Lean to R Tossup
Pennsylvania D Strong to D Lean
West Virginia R Tossup to R Lean
Wisconsin D Lean to D Strong

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 19 17T
P 2012 President 55/56 40/56 95/112 84.8% pie 48 1 314T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 26/33 58/66 87.9% pie 22 0 2T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 2 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 36/52 13/52 49/104 47.1% pie 18 - 75T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 28/37 62/74 83.8% pie 2 3 21T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 29/37 62/74 83.8% pie 1 3 17T
P 2009 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 137 92T
P 2008 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 79 1 100T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 28/33 61/66 92.4% pie 17 2 2
P 2006 Governor 35/36 29/36 64/72 88.9% pie 16 2 6T
P 2004 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 47 1 66T
Aggregate Predictions 377/411 283/411 660/822 80.3% pie

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