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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-04 Version:36

Prediction Map
Lamrock Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Lamrock Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem311
 
Rep227
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem252
 
Rep147
 
Ind0
 
Tos139
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+60+59000202252+59
Rep000-60-59253227-59
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
88483343
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

Final prediction. Its a boring, conservative prediction, but I think that it is the most likely one.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Lamrock (D-WA) 2008-11-07 @ 01:32:07
My map was too safe this time. I wimped out of Indiana going D at the last minute and regret it. Was also pessimistic about NC and FL, and had nearly every state at 50%.

At least Obama won.
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 54/56 45/56 99/112 88.4% pie 38 2 146T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 1 16 164T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 6/11 15/22 68.2% pie 1 203 131T
P 2012 Rep Primary 40/52 6/52 46/104 44.2% pie 8 - 86T
P 2008 President 52/56 36/56 88/112 78.6% pie 36 0 276T
P 2004 President 54/56 33/56 87/112 77.7% pie 56 1 474T
Aggregate Predictions 240/264 142/264 382/528 72.3% pie


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