Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.

Date of Prediction: 2008-09-28 Version:2

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	381
Rep	157
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	331
Rep	82
Ind	0
Tos	125

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+11	+1	+129	0	0	0	20	2	252	+129
Rep	0	0	0	-11	-1	-129	20	2	157	-129
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
77	49	24	3	1

Analysis

This is where I see it now. I think Obama can tip the one district in Nebraska. I think that West Virginia has been under polled and is closer than most people think. I think that it will be close and tip in Obama's flavor in Missouri, West Virginia, and North Carolina. I think there will be a really surprise somewhere on the map too but I don't know where. Maybe Arkansas

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2008 President	52/56	25/56	77/112	68.8%	2	37	625	T	1,505
2006 U.S. Senate	31/33	9/33	40/66	60.6%	2	125	380	T	465
2004 President	51/56	26/56	77/112	68.8%	23	1	1407	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	134/145	60/145	194/290	66.9%

Links

Back to 2008 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home