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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:54

Prediction Map
Sheliak5 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Sheliak5 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem379
 
Rep159
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem291
 
Rep159
 
Ind0
 
Tos88
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+11+1+127000202252+127
Rep000-11-1-127202159-127
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
101494255
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: applemanmat (R-NJ) 2008-12-21 @ 18:15:12
You were pretty accurate overall. But giving Obama North Dakota was stupid considering it hasn't voted democratic in like 100 years. But good job overall.prediction Map

 By: FrenchEd (D-NJ) 2008-12-22 @ 16:54:47
Applemanmat, EVERY state voted Dem in 1964 except the crazy Deep South (which went Dem in 1976 anyway, thanks to the peanut farmer) and Arizona in 1992. So every state in the nation has gone Dem at least once since 1964.
Quite a few of them haven't since, though. Those would be AK, UT, NE, WY, ID, ND, SD, OK and KS.
Just as every state has gone GOP at least once since 1972. And only MN hasn't since then.

North Dakota was indeed a long shot, though. Valid point. Still, it was a bigger win for McCain than expected -bigger than SD.
But you know, over there there are more sheep and cows to poll than actual people...
prediction Map


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2008 President 54/56 47/56 101/112 90.2% pie 54 1 6T
P 2008 Senate 31/33 17/33 48/66 72.7% pie 10 6 172T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 4 28 27T
P 2008 Dem Primary 41/52 20/52 61/104 58.7% pie 3 - 38T
P 2008 Rep Primary 30/49 10/49 40/98 40.8% pie 1 - 97T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 1 48 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 20/33 53/66 80.3% pie 11 4 88T
P 2006 Governor 34/36 21/36 55/72 76.4% pie 2 4 71T
P 2004 President 55/56 24/56 79/112 70.5% pie 26 3 1285T
Aggregate Predictions 292/329 169/329 461/658 70.1% pie


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