Election 2008 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-11-03 Version:13

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	329
Rep	209
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	286
Rep	163
Ind	0
Tos	89

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	+7	0	+77	0	0	0	20	2	252	+77
Rep	0	0	0	-7	0	-77	24	3	209	-77
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
92	47	40	4	1

Analysis

Final Prediction:

National: Obama 51.79-46.92

Alabama: McCain 59-40
Alaska: McCain 57-38
Arizona: McCain 53-45
Arkansas: McCain 54-44
California: Obama 59-40
Colorado: Obama 51-47
Connecticut: Obama 57-41
Delaware: Obama 58-40
District of Columbia: Obama 90-9
Florida: Obama 50-49
Georgia: McCain 53-46
Hawaii: Obama 65-32
Idaho: McCain 66-33
Illinois: Obama 60-38
Indiana: McCain 51-48
Iowa: Obama 54-45
Kansas: McCain 59-39
Kentucky: McCain 55-43
Maine: Obama 57-42
Louisiana: McCain 56-43
Maryland: Obama 60-39
Massachusetts: Obama 61-37
Michigan: Obama 56-43
Minnesota: Obama 55-44
Mississippi: McCain 54-45
Missouri: Obama 49.7-McCain 49.1
Montana: McCain 50-47-3
Nebraska: McCain 60-39
Nevada: Obama 51-47
New Hampshire: Obama 53-46
New Jersey: Obama 58-41
New Mexico: Obama 54-44
New York: Obama 64-34
North Carolina: McCain 50-49
North Dakota: McCain 52-46
Ohio: McCain 49.9-49.2
Oklahoma: McCain 62-37
Oregon: Obama 55-43
Pennsylvania: Obama 53-46
Rhode Island: Obama 60-39
South Carolina: McCain 54-45
South Dakota: McCain 55-44
Tennessee: McCain 57-42
Texas: McCain 55-44
Utah: McCain 64-35
Vermont: Obama 66-33
Virginia: Obama 51-47
Washington: Obama 57-42
West Virginia: McCain 54-45
Wisconsin: Obama 54-44
Wyoming: McCain 66-33

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	2	1	47	T	760
2012 Rep Primary	0/52	0/52	0/104	0.0%	1	-	228	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%	2	1	34	T	456
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	2	1	T	103
2008 President	51/56	41/56	92/112	82.1%	13	1	178	T	1,505
2008 Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%	4	1	96	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	9/11	20/22	90.9%	2	1	9	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	23/52	8/52	31/104	29.8%	7	-	147	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	18/49	11/49	29/98	29.6%	5	-	132	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	1	182	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	23/33	55/66	83.3%	19	1	46	T	465
2006 Governor	35/36	30/36	65/72	90.3%	22	1	1	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	296/420	220/420	516/840	61.4%

Links

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