Obama is going to be the nominee.

The battle ends on 4/22, after Hillary wins in Pennsylvania.

I predict that the nomination will not be decided until after the 4/22 Pennsylvania primary, which will go to Clinton.

Edwards drops out after Super Tuesday, while Obama stays in until March 4, when he drops out.

Everyone except the Big Three drops out after Super Tuesday. Edwards drops out after Nebraska, and Obama drops out after losing Ohio and Texas.

This is probably the best case for Obama: he and Hillary split most of February, and she finally wins the nomination in March.

This is probably the only scenario where Edwards wins the nomination:

Clinton and Obama bicker so much in Iowa that Edwards manages to pull out a slim victory. Clinton wins New Hampshire, Obama wins South Carolina, Clinton wins Nevada, but Edwards manages to win a majority of Super Tuesday states, and is able to win the nomination in late February and early March.

Say what you will, but I still think Clinton will win Iowa, and win the nomination. She has the organization and the fundraising that you need to stay in the race, and the most popular Democrat alive is out campaigning for her.

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