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Date of Prediction: 2007-12-07 Version:1

Prediction Map
Mr. Morden Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Mr. Morden Map


Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton39
 
Edwards0
 
Obama12
 
Richardson1
 
Other0
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Clinton34
 
Edwards0
 
Obama4
 
Richardson1
 
Other0
 
Tossup13
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
35296
piepiepie

Analysis

Really, things could go either Clinton's or Obama's way, but this map is premised on Obama barely eking out victories in IA and SC while Clinton takes NH and NV, giving Obama some momentum going into Feb. 5th, but not quite enough to stop Clinton from getting the bulk of the delegates at stake (Obama wins a decent number of medium-sized states though). Obama drops out shortly after that.


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2008 Dem Primary 29/52 6/52 35/104 33.7% pie 1 - 127T
P 2008 Rep Primary 16/49 5/49 21/98 21.4% pie 2 - 155T
Aggregate Predictions 45/101 11/101 56/202 27.7% pie


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