Election 2008 Dem Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2007-12-07 Version:1

Prediction Map
Mr. Morden Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Mr. Morden Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Clinton	39
Edwards	0
Obama	12
Richardson	1
Other	0

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Clinton	34
Edwards	0
Obama	4
Richardson	1
Other	0
Tossup	13

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
35	29	6

Analysis

Really, things could go either Clinton's or Obama's way, but this map is premised on Obama barely eking out victories in IA and SC while Clinton takes NH and NV, giving Obama some momentum going into Feb. 5th, but not quite enough to stop Clinton from getting the bulk of the delegates at stake (Obama wins a decent number of medium-sized states though). Obama drops out shortly after that.

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2008 Dem Primary	29/52	6/52	35/104	33.7%	1	-	127	T
2008 Rep Primary	16/49	5/49	21/98	21.4%	2	-	155	T
Aggregate Predictions	45/101	11/101	56/202	27.7%

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