Election 2008 Rep Presidential Primary Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2008-05-20 Version:16

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	0
McCain	38
Romney	7
Thompson	0
Huckabee	4
Other	3

Confidence States Won

		26 \|	52 \|
Giuliani	0
McCain	26
Romney	1
Thompson	0
Huckabee	1
Other	0
Tossup	24

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages
41	30	11

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 7

Last minute flipping of Florida to Romney.

Version: 6

I'll go out on a limb a bit and say Giuliani DOES get Florida.

Bleh, stupid bug in Nevada!

Version: 5

Just a little tweaking.

Version: 4

OK, I'll give NH to McCain for now, but let's wait and see what the polls say.

Version: 3

I'm flipping Iowa back to Romney and changing NH to a tossup, although I still say Romney has a slight advantage there and it'll probably go back to Lean if he does win Iowa. Also fixed my error and did give Arkansas to Huckabee and Utah to Romney. I did a few more states too although this is certainly subject to change.

Version: 2

I'm willing to go a bit further out on a limb. Still too early to make guesses on most though.

Version: 1

That's as far as I'll go for now.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2023 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	2	74	T	115
2022 Senate	35/35	29/35	64/70	91.4%	1	1	7	T	305
2022 Governor	36/36	26/36	62/72	86.1%	1	1	23	T	272
2021 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	7	48	T	118
2020 President	50/56	41/56	91/112	81.3%	2	10	359	T	684
2020 Senate	30/35	22/35	52/70	74.3%	2	4	194	T	423
2020 Governor	11/11	6/11	17/22	77.3%	2	7	147	T	293
2018 Senate	32/35	16/35	48/70	68.6%	1	4	306	T	483
2018 Governor	32/36	24/36	56/72	77.8%	2	3	94	T	372
2016 President	49/56	30/56	79/112	70.5%	4	1	280	T	678
2016 Senate	29/34	18/34	47/68	69.1%	1	2	213	T	362
2016 Governor	8/12	4/12	12/24	50.0%	1	2	164	T	279
2015 Governor	2/3	2/3	4/6	66.7%	1	6	8	T	112
2014 Senate	32/36	22/36	54/72	75.0%	2	1	138	T	382
2014 Governor	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%	4	1	211	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	1	2	1	T	153
2012 President	55/56	47/56	102/112	91.1%	3	0	47	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	24/33	56/66	84.8%	4	0	11	T	343
2012 Governor	11/11	8/11	19/22	86.4%	3	0	5	T	228
2012 Rep Primary	45/52	18/52	63/104	60.6%	28	-	27	T	231
2010 Senate	34/37	22/37	56/74	75.7%	16	1	116	T	456
2010 Governor	35/37	22/37	57/74	77.0%	9	1	91	T	312
2009 Governor	1/2	1/2	2/4	50.0%	1	17	56	T	103
2008 President	52/56	40/56	92/112	82.1%	13	1	178	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	23/33	56/66	84.8%	8	1	14	T	407
2008 Governor	10/11	8/11	18/22	81.8%	6	1	50	T	264
2008 Dem Primary	45/52	27/52	72/104	69.2%	17	-	7	T	271
2008 Rep Primary	30/49	11/49	41/98	41.8%	16	-	91	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	3/3	6/6	100.0%	2	159	1	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%	19	1	65	T	465
2006 Governor	34/36	17/36	51/72	70.8%	26	1	122	T	312
2004 President	49/56	37/56	86/112	76.8%	7	21	591	T	1,994
Aggregate Predictions	882/985	587/985	1469/1970	74.6%

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