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Date of Prediction: 2008-01-22 Version:8

Prediction Map
Cuivienen Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Cuivienen Map


Prediction States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain1
 
Romney6
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee1
 
Other44
 
 

Confidence States Won
26 |
52 |
pie
Giuliani0
 
McCain0
 
Romney0
 
Thompson0
 
Huckabee0
 
Other44
 
Tossup8
 

Prediction Score (max Score = 104)

ScoreState WinsState Percentages
642
piepiepie

Analysis

Calling Hawaii for anyone for 25 Jan seems a bit premature, but whatever. I'm going to go with Romney simply because he has proven the best at winning support from select groups, as will be those voting in Hawaii because of the arcane scheduling.

For Florida, I predict a Romney upset with McCain and Giuliani splitting the vote and therefore a derailment of the McCain inevitability train (though he will probably still win the nomination by dominating Super Tuesday).


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2012 President 55/56 48/56 103/112 92.0% pie 6 1 26T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 16/33 48/66 72.7% pie 3 1 144T
P 2012 Governor 11/11 6/11 17/22 77.3% pie 2 1 51T
P 2010 Senate 36/37 22/37 58/74 78.4% pie 5 1 86T
P 2010 Governor 34/37 23/37 57/74 77.0% pie 6 1 91T
P 2008 President 52/56 41/56 93/112 83.0% pie 28 2 139T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 18/33 50/66 75.8% pie 26 1 117T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 7/11 18/22 81.8% pie 6 40 50T
P 2008 Dem Primary 7/52 4/52 11/104 10.6% pie 10 - 224T
P 2008 Rep Primary 4/49 2/49 6/98 6.1% pie 8 - 221T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 1/3 4/6 66.7% pie 3 163 102T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 33/33 24/33 57/66 86.4% pie 24 1 20T
P 2006 Governor 33/36 30/36 63/72 87.5% pie 30 0 10T
Aggregate Predictions 343/447 242/447 585/894 65.4% pie


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