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 Date of Prediction: 2012-04-29 Version:20

Prediction Map
33api Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
33api Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem171
 
Rep367
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem152
 
Rep270
 
Ind0
 
Tos116
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-16-3-188130171-188
Rep+16+3+188000222179+188
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Obama / Clinton vs. Romney / Rubio


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: 33api (I-NAM) 2012-04-29 @ 05:48:31 prediction Map
I changed Iowa from Lean R to Tossup.
 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-04-29 @ 17:12:04 prediction Map
This would be the Reagan Carter map type result for Obama/ROmney...a possibility but unlikely in my mind. So much will ride on the debates for Romney.
 By: Ickey415 (--IA) 2012-04-29 @ 22:51:53 prediction Map
So, Obama leads Romney by 15 in all polls of NM for the past year or so, but you list it as a lean-Romney toss-up. Same situation in ME, but the Prez's lead is 18 there and no credible Republicans will be running in that state due to Snowe's retirement. Is there some unforeseen eventuality that is happening in your scenario which is taking these sure-thing Blue states and making them tilt away from their natural orientation? Just wondering if we're looking for some kind of zombie-apocalypse Raccon City outbreak type of prediction here is all.
-Jeff
 By: dnul222 (D-MN) 2012-04-30 @ 03:39:40 prediction Map
Ickey415, what I think he did is take the undecideds and break them to ROmney plus shift a few things...if you look at some other analysts like Cook political report have Maine as only lean DEM...although I agree with NM I think a Carter debacle election for Obama after bad campaign could result in a map not far from this...but as I said before unlikely...

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 44/56 100/112 89.3% pie 68 0 115T
P 2012 Senate 32/33 24/33 56/66 84.8% pie 22 0 11T
Aggregate Predictions 88/89 68/89 156/178 87.6% pie



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