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Date of Prediction: 2012-05-02 Version:2

Prediction Map
inddem76 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
inddem76 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem290
 
Rep248
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem248
 
Rep204
 
Ind0
 
Tos86
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-4-1-69252290-69
Rep+4+1+69000222179+69
Ind0000000000


Analysis

My first change I flip Virginia to leans Romney based on recent polling and reading analysis. New polls from Rasmussen in Nevada Obama +8,, and Marquette in Wisconsin + 9 reinforces my view that Obama is favored in those two states. Would like to see updated polling for Iowa and Pennsylvania. Obama favored in Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. Romney in North Carolina and probably Virginia.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Lamrock (D-WA) 2012-05-02 @ 22:12:47 prediction Map
We are like-minded in our predictions - specifically Virginia, though I definitely wouldn't consider it a Lean Romney state. Definitely not in the same category as ND.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 39/56 94/112 83.9% pie 3 34 367T
Aggregate Predictions 55/56 39/56 94/112 83.9% pie


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