PredictionsNewsMock2012 Presidential Predictions - inddem76 (D-WI) ResultsForumPolls
Note: The Google advertisement links below may advocate political positions that this site does not endorse.
Date of Prediction: 2012-05-02 Version:2

Prediction Map
inddem76 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
inddem76 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem290
 
Rep248
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem248
 
Rep204
 
Ind0
 
Tos86
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-4-1-69252290-69
Rep+4+1+69000222179+69
Ind0000000000


Analysis

My first change I flip Virginia to leans Romney based on recent polling and reading analysis. New polls from Rasmussen in Nevada Obama +8,, and Marquette in Wisconsin + 9 reinforces my view that Obama is favored in those two states. Would like to see updated polling for Iowa and Pennsylvania. Obama favored in Michigan, Wisconsin, Ohio, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Colorado, Nevada and New Mexico. Romney in North Carolina and probably Virginia.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Lamrock (D-WA) 2012-05-02 @ 22:12:47 prediction Map
We are like-minded in our predictions - specifically Virginia, though I definitely wouldn't consider it a Lean Romney state. Definitely not in the same category as ND.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 39/56 94/112 83.9% pie 3 34 367T
Aggregate Predictions 55/56 39/56 94/112 83.9% pie


Alabama Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Alaska Arizona Arkansas California California California California Colorado Connecticut Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Maryland Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Virginia Washington Washington Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wisconsin Wyoming

Back to 2012 Presidential Prediction Home - Predictions Home

Ad: History Posters! - History of the Political Parties I


Election and History Posters from History Shots!

Note: click will open in new window if pop-ups allowed

© David Leip 2012 All Rights Reserved