Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Election Data

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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-03 Version:26

Prediction Map
SupersonicVenue Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
SupersonicVenue Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	284
Rep	254
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	237
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	95

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-1	-75	24	2	284	-75
Rep	+5	+1	+75	0	0	0	22	2	179	+75
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Update 26: Ohio from R >50% to D >50%.

Virginia from R >40% to R >50%.

Louisiana and Arkansas from R >60% to R >50%.

Michigan from Tossup to Lean.

Arizona from Lean to Strong.

Missouri from Lean to Strong.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

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Member Comments

By: SupersonicVenue (R-GBR) 2012-08-03 @ 21:33:11
Ohio is a big stumbling block for Romney. Picking Portman for VP may help a little, but won't be enough. He needs to literally hammer the state with ads.

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	53/56	42/56	95/112	84.8%	38	4	314	T
2012 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%	17	2	164	T
2012 Governor	9/11	8/11	17/22	77.3%	11	4	51	T
2012 Rep Primary	15/52	8/52	23/104	22.1%	4	-	184	T
Aggregate Predictions	107/152	75/152	182/304	59.9%