Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-17 Version:17

Prediction Map
timroman Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
timroman Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	235
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	237
Rep	205
Ind	0
Tos	96

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-56	26	2	303	-56
Rep	+3	+1	+56	0	0	0	22	2	179	+56
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
95	50	36	5	4

Analysis

Barack Obama versus "Willard" Mitt the Lying Empty Suit Alien Barely Human Awkward Phony Despicable Lays-Off-the-Working Man Yet Only Pays 13% Tax Rate Elitist Mormon Corrupt Lies Betrays America by Financial Fraud Embarrassing Stain on Humanity Romney

My analysis is sound, stable, and irrefutable.

Analysis based upon combination of poll data and trends. Paul Ryan put Wisconsin "into play" but like all VP picks it won't make a plum of a difference. Wisconsin is not a Republican state.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	17	81	314	T
2012 Senate	30/33	21/33	51/66	77.3%	2	40	94	T
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	8/52	43/104	41.3%	7	-	102	T
2010 Senate	32/37	18/37	50/74	67.6%	8	5	221	T
2008 President	52/56	39/56	91/112	81.3%	15	8	200	T
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	1	26	227	T
2008 Governor	10/11	5/11	15/22	68.2%	1	26	183	T
2008 Dem Primary	30/52	13/52	43/104	41.3%	2	-	90	T
2008 Rep Primary	28/49	6/49	34/98	34.7%	2	-	111	T
2006 U.S. Senate	32/33	15/33	47/66	71.2%	1	44	232	T
2004 President	51/56	31/56	82/112	73.2%	32	1	1036	T
Aggregate Predictions	386/468	211/468	597/936	63.8%