Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-19 Version:49

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map

tmthforu94 Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map

tmthforu94 Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	252
Rep	286
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	201
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	131

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-8	-1	-107	21	2	252	-107
Rep	+8	+1	+107	0	0	0	22	2	179	+107
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

I predict the election will come down to Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Those will be the four closest states.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

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Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	53/56	39/56	92/112	82.1%		62	1	435	T
2012 Senate	30/33	17/33	47/66	71.2%		26	1	164	T
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%		14	1	89	T
2012 Rep Primary	43/52	22/52	65/104	62.5%		43	-	22	T
2011 Governor	4/4	1/4	5/8	62.5%		14	1	37	T
2010 Senate	34/37	27/37	61/74	82.4%		128	1	34	T
2010 Governor	33/37	25/37	58/74	78.4%		114	1	74	T
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%		18	1	1	T
2008 President	49/56	36/56	85/112	75.9%		67	1	357	T
2008 Senate	32/33	19/33	51/66	77.3%		23	1	96	T
2008 Governor	10/11	7/11	17/22	77.3%		16	1	86	T
Aggregate Predictions	300/332	201/332	501/664	75.5%

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