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Date of Prediction: 2012-08-19 Version:49

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem252
 
Rep286
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem201
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos131
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-8-1-107212252-107
Rep+8+1+107000222179+107
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I predict the election will come down to Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Those will be the four closest states.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President
P 2016 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie
P 2016 Governor /12 /12 /24 % pie
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 22 0 4T
P 2014 Governor 29/36 18/36 47/72 65.3% pie 19 0 97T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 366/406 247/406 613/812 75.5% pie



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