Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-09-27 Version:7

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	235
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	280
Rep	169
Ind	0
Tos	89

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-56	26	2	303	-56
Rep	+3	+1	+56	0	0	0	22	2	179	+56
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
90	50	32	5	3

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 6

President Obama wins 303-235.
Obama wins Virginia by a small margin and losses Florida by a similar margin. Ohio is leaning to Obama.

Popular Vote:
President Obama/Vice President Biden: 50,3%
Governor Romney/Representative Ryan: 47,6%

Version: 5

Just based on a dream I had a few months ago. Indiana and Arizona can be switched.

Version: 4

President Barack Obama - 50,4%

Governor Mitt Romney - 47,2%

Obama wins a close election, wins Virginia and North Carolina but losses Florida and Indiana.

Unemployement is around 8%.

Version: 3

Obama 54% - Romney: 44%

Romney has a bad campaign while Obama enjoys a easy ride thanks to a better economy.

Version: 1

President Barack Obama (IL)/Vice President Joe Biden (DE) - 49,5%

Former Governor Mitt Romney (MA)/Senator John Thune (SD) - 47,5%

Others: 3%

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	29/36	13/36	42/72	58.3%	3	423	308	T	382
2014 Governor	28/36	11/36	39/72	54.2%	3	423	253	T	300
2013 Governor	2/2	1/2	3/4	75.0%	1	59	17	T	153
2012 President	55/56	35/56	90/112	80.4%	7	40	489	T	760
2012 Senate	32/33	13/33	45/66	68.2%	3	39	198	T	343
2012 Governor	10/11	6/11	16/22	72.7%	2	39	89	T	228
Aggregate Predictions	156/174	79/174	235/348	67.5%