Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-04 Version:4

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	332
Rep	206
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	272
Rep	169
Ind	0
Tos	97

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-1	-27	27	2	332	-27
Rep	+2	+1	+27	0	0	0	22	2	179	+27
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 6

Second to final map... still unsure of Ohio and Florida as per usual. I am pretty confident in the rest of swing states most going to Obama, a few going Romney. Polls are bizarre lately. I think they are way off.

Version: 3

I am starting to think Missouri is no longer a swing state for the US Presidency, but is now a reliable Republican state.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2016 President
2016 Senate	28/34	14/34	42/68	61.8%	4	27	327	T	362
2016 Governor	6/12	2/12	8/24	33.3%	2	177	274	T	279
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%	7	0	182	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	10/33	40/66	60.6%	1	21	252	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%	1	21	196	T	228
2008 President	53/56	46/56	99/112	88.4%	25	0	26	T	1,505
2008 Senate	33/33	22/33	55/66	83.3%	3	9	28	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	5/11	16/22	72.7%	1	13	152	T	264
Aggregate Predictions	226/246	144/246	370/492	75.2%