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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-04 Version:26

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem347
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem257
 
Rep179
 
Ind0
 
Tos102
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-1-1-12282347-12
Rep+1+1+12000222179+12
Ind0000000000


Analysis

I didn't see the Presidential debate yesterday on live television but I did see it on Youtube and I have to say I disagree with Mitt Romney on the point that raising taxes will hurt the economy and fail to reduce the deficit. I'm sure he believes it but I don't!

President Obama believes a more balanced approach of raising taxes on the wealthy and spending cuts are what's needed; I agree. I don't see how any alternative solution will work to reduce debt and deficit. Despite the recession, unemployment has been inching down at a maddening slow rate but it's been trending in that direction, but it's going to take some time considering that this financial crisis is a global pandemic affecting just about everything around the world. The best way to avoid another economic catastrophe like the one we were just in is to allow significant government oversight of big banks and financial institutions, as it was this sector that got us in this mess in the first place!

I don't measure the champion of a debate with body posturing and slick words. I measure him by the use of valid facts and honest proposals/solutions.

I understand that Mitt Romney needs to drum up support among Republican voters but his solutions (which include expanding the military) just didn't resonate with me.


My prediction:

Obama/Biden . . . 51%
Romney/Ryan . . . 47%
Other . . . . . . 2%


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 41 0 182T
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 18/52 53/104 51.0% pie 13 - 64T
Aggregate Predictions 91/108 60/108 151/216 69.9% pie


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