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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-04 Version:30

Prediction Map
palandio Map

Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
palandio Map

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain


Could the first debate have been the game-changer? Maybe yes, but I still see Obama favored.
MI, MN and PA from Lean DEM to Strong DEM, as campaigns have pulled out.
WI from Toss-up to Lean, I'm reluctant to move it to Strong DEM.
NV stays Lean DEM, both campaigns are still campaigning there as is also has a very central role in electoral math.
OH stays Toss-up, even if the polls indicate Lean DEM.
FL from REP to DEM.
AZ, IN and MO stay Lean REP for the moment, could become Strong.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

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Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie 34 1 47T
Aggregate Predictions 55/56 47/56 102/112 91.1% pie

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