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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-04 Version:25

Prediction Map
tinman64 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
tinman64 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem266
 
Rep272
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep205
 
Ind0
 
Tos96
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-6-1-93232266-93
Rep+6+1+93000222179+93
Ind0000000000


Analysis

BIG win for Romney in the first debate. He must now be given a slight edge.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 34/36 23/36 57/72 79.2% pie 11 1 82T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 16/36 47/72 65.3% pie 10 1 97T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 1 1 17T
P 2012 President 54/56 40/56 94/112 83.9% pie 34 2 367T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 16/33 47/66 71.2% pie 13 2 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 6 2 51T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 25/37 59/74 79.7% pie 9 0 63T
P 2010 Governor 35/37 27/37 62/74 83.8% pie 9 0 17T
P 2008 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 13 1 115T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 17/33 49/66 74.2% pie 4 1 144T
P 2008 Governor 11/11 8/11 19/22 86.4% pie 4 1 27T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 32/33 22/33 54/66 81.8% pie 20 1 65T
P 2006 Governor 35/36 19/36 54/72 75.0% pie 16 1 81T
P 2004 President 55/56 43/56 98/112 87.5% pie 35 3 14T
Aggregate Predictions 449/473 305/473 754/946 79.7% pie



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