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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-05 Version:10

Prediction Map
Nik MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Nik MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem217
 
Rep321
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem185
 
Rep272
 
Ind0
 
Tos81
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-11-1-142182217-142
Rep+11+1+142000222179+142
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Changes favoring GOP: OK and WY from R > 60 to R > 70; WV from R > 50 to R > 60; Iowa from toss-up to leans GOP.

Changes favoring Dems: CO from leans GOP to toss-up; MN and MI and NM from GOP to Dem; MA and CT and WA from lean to solid Dem.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President
P 2016 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie
P 2016 Governor /12 /12 /24 % pie
P 2015 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2014 Senate 35/36 27/36 62/72 86.1% pie 16 0 4T
P 2014 Governor 31/36 20/36 51/72 70.8% pie 16 0 22T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 4 1 1T
P 2012 President 47/56 29/56 76/112 67.9% pie 11 1 702T
P 2012 Senate 23/33 10/33 33/66 50.0% pie 5 1 319T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 4/11 13/22 59.1% pie 4 1 179T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 20/52 63/104 60.6% pie 25 - 27T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 2/4 6/8 75.0% pie 2 34 12T
P 2010 Senate 33/37 24/37 57/74 77.0% pie 20 1 100T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 26/37 59/74 79.7% pie 20 1 59T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 2 10 1T
P 2008 President 45/56 28/56 73/112 65.2% pie 21 0 791T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 22/33 52/66 78.8% pie 9 0 81T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 9 0 86T
P 2008 Dem Primary 39/52 25/52 64/104 61.5% pie 15 - 33
P 2008 Rep Primary 41/49 22/49 63/98 64.3% pie 14 - 7T
P 2007 Governor 3/3 2/3 5/6 83.3% pie 2 51 58T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 30/33 21/33 51/66 77.3% pie 9 1 133T
P 2006 Governor 36/36 23/36 59/72 81.9% pie 9 1 36T
P 2004 President 53/56 42/56 95/112 84.8% pie 18 1 49T
Aggregate Predictions 549/635 358/635 907/1270 71.4% pie



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