Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-07 Version:28

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	332
Rep	206
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	257
Rep	181
Ind	0
Tos	100

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-2	-1	-27	27	2	332	-27
Rep	+2	+1	+27	0	0	0	22	2	179	+27
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Okay. This is going to be a tight race after all. I moved Arizona back into "lean" territory for Mitt Romney but now have Missouri as "toss-up"--though still falling into Romney's column on Election Night. North Carolina, still a "toss-up", now goes to the Massachusetts Governor.

I think President Obama will take a cleaning rag to his boxing gloves and give Mitt Romney a good pounding in the next debate.

My prediction for Election Night 2012:

Obama/Biden . . . 51%
Romney/Ryan . . . 47%
Other . . . . . . 2%

May the best civil servant win!

Prediction History
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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%	41	0	182	T
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	18/52	53/104	51.0%	13	-	64	T
Aggregate Predictions	91/108	60/108	151/216	69.9%

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