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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-07 Version:28

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem257
 
Rep181
 
Ind0
 
Tos100
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Okay. This is going to be a tight race after all. I moved Arizona back into "lean" territory for Mitt Romney but now have Missouri as "toss-up"--though still falling into Romney's column on Election Night. North Carolina, still a "toss-up", now goes to the Massachusetts Governor.

I think President Obama will take a cleaning rag to his boxing gloves and give Mitt Romney a good pounding in the next debate.


My prediction for Election Night 2012:

Obama/Biden . . . 51%
Romney/Ryan . . . 47%
Other . . . . . . 2%

May the best civil servant win!


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 41 0 182T
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 18/52 53/104 51.0% pie 13 - 64T
Aggregate Predictions 91/108 60/108 151/216 69.9% pie


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