Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-08 Version:29

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	285
Rep	253
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	257
Rep	181
Ind	0
Tos	100

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-4	-1	-74	25	2	285	-74
Rep	+4	+1	+74	0	0	0	22	2	179	+74
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

Mitt Romney hit a triple in the first Presidential debate . . . but we still have one month before the Election. If the Election were held today this would be the result, I believe.

My prediction for Election Night 2012:

Obama/Biden . . . 50%
Romney/Ryan . . . 48%
Other . . . . . . 2%

President Obama still has leads in enough battleground states to carry the day. Ultimately the debates and other events from now until November 6 will determine the final results.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	56/56	42/56	98/112	87.5%	41	0	182	T
2012 Rep Primary	35/52	18/52	53/104	51.0%	13	-	64	T
Aggregate Predictions	91/108	60/108	151/216	69.9%

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