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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-08 Version:29

Prediction Map
Immortal Monk MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Immortal Monk MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem285
 
Rep253
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem257
 
Rep181
 
Ind0
 
Tos100
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-4-1-74252285-74
Rep+4+1+74000222179+74
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Mitt Romney hit a triple in the first Presidential debate . . . but we still have one month before the Election. If the Election were held today this would be the result, I believe.


My prediction for Election Night 2012:

Obama/Biden . . . 50%
Romney/Ryan . . . 48%
Other . . . . . . 2%


President Obama still has leads in enough battleground states to carry the day. Ultimately the debates and other events from now until November 6 will determine the final results.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 41 0 182T
P 2012 Rep Primary 35/52 18/52 53/104 51.0% pie 13 - 64T
Aggregate Predictions 91/108 60/108 151/216 69.9% pie


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