Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-10 Version:34

Prediction Map
Lamrock Map

Lamrock Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
Lamrock Map

Lamrock Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	281
Rep	257
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	251
Rep	206
Ind	0
Tos	81

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-5	-1	-78	24	2	281	-78
Rep	+5	+1	+78	0	0	0	22	2	179	+78
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

The election is getting pretty close, and it looks like this is where it's heading. Colorado's the closest toss-up.

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Prediction Graph

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User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy		Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	54/56	45/56	99/112	88.4%		38	2	146	T
2012 Senate	31/33	16/33	47/66	71.2%		1	16	164	T
2012 Governor	9/11	6/11	15/22	68.2%		1	203	131	T
2012 Rep Primary	40/52	6/52	46/104	44.2%		8	-	86	T
2008 President	52/56	36/56	88/112	78.6%		36	0	276	T
2004 President	54/56	33/56	87/112	77.7%		56	1	474	T
Aggregate Predictions	240/264	142/264	382/528	72.3%

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