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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-10 Version:5

Prediction Map
Snigglie MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Snigglie MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem415
 
Rep123
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem372
 
Rep66
 
Ind0
 
Tos100
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem+7+1+56000293359+56
Rep000-7-1-56151123-56
Ind0000000000


Analysis

Here's my analysis of what the electoral map would look like with a 5% swing to President Obama from the 2008 election.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: tmthforu94 (R-KS) 2012-10-11 @ 01:06:39 prediction Map
How is that an analysis when all you did is add 5% to Obama in each state?

 By: Snigglie (R-AL) 2012-10-11 @ 09:31:21 prediction Map
I guess maybe 'analysis' is a strong word. My intent is to show how the states flip if a certain percentage of the vote moves from one candidate to the other across the board. I don't actually expect this to happen, but I thought I would see what it looks like and share it with other users.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2012 President 45/56 25/56 70/112 62.5% pie 7 20 730T
P 2012 Senate 25/33 12/33 37/66 56.1% pie 1 34 291T
Aggregate Predictions 70/89 37/89 107/178 60.1% pie


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