Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Election Data

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-12 Version:88

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 Map

Prediction Key	Confidence Key

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	277
Rep	261
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	237
Rep	205
Ind	0
Tos	96

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-6	-1	-82	23	2	277	-82
Rep	+6	+1	+82	0	0	0	22	2	179	+82
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Analysis

2012 US Presidential Election.
Romney-R is favored to win all of the McCain 2008 States plus IN-11,NC-15,FL-29,VA-13,CO-9 and NH-4=261ev.
Obama-D is favored to win all of the Gore 2000 States(IA-6,WI-10,MI-16,PA-20,MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5)=253ev
Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18 and NV-6. =277ev

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - show

Version History

Member Comments

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-12 @ 23:44:58
Real Clear Politics show Romney-R narrowly leading in NC-15,FL-29,and CO-9. Romney-R has the momentum in VA-13 and NH-4. Obama-D guide to victory is PA-20,OH-18,MI-16,WI-10,MN-10,and IA-6=271ev

By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-13 @ 06:59:16
2012 US Senate Election.(Tossup States) Democrats win CT(Murphy-D)48D VA(Kaine-D)49D WI(Baldwin-D)50D MA(Warren-D)51D MO(McCaskill-D)52D Republicans win ND(Berg-R)44R NV(Heller-R)45R AZ(Flake-R)46R MT(Rehberg-R)47R IN(Mourdock-R)48R

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank
2012 President	52/56	43/56	95/112	84.8%	111	1	314	T
2012 Senate	31/33	21/33	52/66	78.8%	27	38	74	T
Aggregate Predictions	83/89	64/89	147/178	82.6%

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