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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-12 Version:88

Prediction Map
nkpolitics1279 MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
nkpolitics1279 MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem277
 
Rep261
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem237
 
Rep205
 
Ind0
 
Tos96
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-6-1-82232277-82
Rep+6+1+82000222179+82
Ind0000000000


Analysis

2012 US Presidential Election.
Romney-R is favored to win all of the McCain 2008 States plus IN-11,NC-15,FL-29,VA-13,CO-9 and NH-4=261ev.
Obama-D is favored to win all of the Gore 2000 States(IA-6,WI-10,MI-16,PA-20,MN-10,OR-7,and NM-5)=253ev
Obama-D narrowly wins OH-18 and NV-6. =277ev


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-12 @ 23:44:58 prediction Map
Real Clear Politics show Romney-R narrowly leading in NC-15,FL-29,and CO-9.
Romney-R has the momentum in VA-13 and NH-4.
Obama-D guide to victory is PA-20,OH-18,MI-16,WI-10,MN-10,and IA-6=271ev

 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-13 @ 06:59:16 prediction Map
2012 US Senate Election.(Tossup States)
Democrats win
CT(Murphy-D)48D
VA(Kaine-D)49D
WI(Baldwin-D)50D
MA(Warren-D)51D
MO(McCaskill-D)52D
Republicans win
ND(Berg-R)44R
NV(Heller-R)45R
AZ(Flake-R)46R
MT(Rehberg-R)47R
IN(Mourdock-R)48R


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate 34/36 25/36 59/72 81.9% pie 97 16 42T
P 2014 Governor 28/36 16/36 44/72 61.1% pie 1 325 171T
P 2012 President 52/56 43/56 95/112 84.8% pie 111 1 314T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 21/33 52/66 78.8% pie 27 38 74T
Aggregate Predictions 145/161 105/161 250/322 77.6% pie



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