Date of Prediction: 2012-10-12 Version:2
Prediction Map Confidence Map
Prediction States Won
Confidence States Won
State Pick-ups
Analysis
This is an upgraded state of play map, taking into account the sharp turn to Romney after the first debate. As it is not yet clear what effect the VP debate has on the polling (if any) I have ignored it for now. Obama needs to bring his A game to the remaining debates, if he wishes to win. Ohio is next on the trend chopping block and, with it, the presidency.
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Version: 2 This is an upgraded state of play map, taking into account the sharp turn to Romney after the first debate. As it is not yet clear what effect the VP debate has on the polling (if any) I have ignored it for now. Obama needs to bring his A game to the remaining debates, if he wishes to win. Ohio is next on the trend chopping block and, with it, the presidency. Version: 1 Subject to change of course (especially as the state of the economy still makes Obama vulnerable) however, judging by the quality of the race as well as the general polling, it's hard to Obama getting fewer than 300 EVs, let alone losing.
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