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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-13 Version:23

Prediction Map
colin Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
colin Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem253
 
Rep285
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem201
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
Tos131
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-8-1-106212253-106
Rep+8+1+106000222179+106
Ind0000000000


Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: colin (R-ON) 2012-10-13 @ 10:46:44 prediction Map
could be 2000 all over again...

 By: nkpolitics1279 (D-MA) 2012-10-13 @ 14:18:17 prediction Map
I am surprised that you have NV in the Romney-R collumn since-looking at the RCP
Obama-D has lead in every poll and in NV during the entire year despite high unemployment rate in NV. NV also has a strong Hispanic population. Looking at the Southwestern States. Obama-D wins NM-5 and NV-6. Romney-R wins AZ-11 and CO-9.

 By: Liberalrocks (D-CA) 2012-10-13 @ 14:43:31 prediction Map
I'd switch Nevada for Iowa in a winning Romney scenario. It may have the unemployment woe's but as stated all polling has given it to the president albeit some narrow leads. Where as Iowa has had some split polling.

 By: CR (--MO) 2012-10-13 @ 14:57:07 prediction Map
I'd tend to agree with the above.

 By: colin (R-ON) 2012-10-13 @ 17:19:05 prediction Map
Hey all, hope you are all doing well. RCP averages actually have Nevada closer than Iowa at the moment, and with unemployment so much higher in NV than in IA, I went the way I did. Definitely subject to change. Just thought that it was interesting that the map is the same as 2000.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 1/2 0/2 1/4 25.0% pie 1 228 138T
P 2012 President 53/56 41/56 94/112 83.9% pie 28 1 367T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 20/33 51/66 77.3% pie 11 1 94T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 6/11 15/22 68.2% pie 3 48 131T
P 2010 Senate 31/37 22/37 53/74 71.6% pie 42 0 167T
P 2010 Governor 31/37 24/37 55/74 74.3% pie 23 0 118T
P 2008 President 49/56 44/56 93/112 83.0% pie 16 2 139T
P 2008 Senate 30/33 14/33 44/66 66.7% pie 2 3 281T
P 2008 Governor 9/11 5/11 14/22 63.6% pie 2 3 212T
P 2006 U.S. Senate 25/33 13/33 38/66 57.6% pie 1 1 402T
P 2006 Governor 30/36 13/36 43/72 59.7% pie 1 1 232T
P 2004 President 53/56 36/56 89/112 79.5% pie 3 1 283T
Aggregate Predictions 352/401 238/401 590/802 73.6% pie


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