Election 2012 Presidential Predictions

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Date of Prediction: 2012-10-30 Version:7

Prediction Map

Confidence Map

Prediction States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	303
Rep	235
Ind	0

Confidence States Won

		270 \|	538 \|
Dem	243
Rep	196
Ind	0
Tos	99

State Pick-ups

	Gain			Loss			Hold			Net Gain
	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV	ST	CD	EV
Dem	0	0	0	-3	-1	-56	26	2	303	-56
Rep	+3	+1	+56	0	0	0	22	2	179	+56
Ind	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

Score	State Wins	State Percentages	CD Wins	CD Percentages
95	50	36	5	4

Analysis
No Analysis Entered

Prediction History
Prediction Graph

Comments History - hide

Version: 2

With May's job numbers, I am beginning to lose hope that the economy will improve enough in time such that President Obama's re-election chances can be salvaged.

Version History

Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score	States	Percent	Total	Accuracy	Ver	#D	Rank		#Pred
2014 Senate	35/36	18/36	53/72	73.6%	3	64	158	T	382
2014 Governor	30/36	13/36	43/72	59.7%	1	149	192	T	300
2012 President	55/56	40/56	95/112	84.8%	7	7	314	T	760
2012 Senate	30/33	14/33	44/66	66.7%	2	3	211	T	343
2012 Governor	9/11	3/11	12/22	54.5%	1	32	196	T	228
2011 Governor	2/4	0/4	2/8	25.0%	1	332	100	T	106
2010 Senate	32/37	17/37	49/74	66.2%	4	135	242	T	456
2010 Governor	33/37	18/37	51/74	68.9%	2	135	158	T	312
2009 Governor	2/2	2/2	4/4	100.0%	2	28	1	T	103
2008 President	54/56	34/56	88/112	78.6%	8	13	276	T	1,505
2008 Senate	31/33	15/33	46/66	69.7%	7	31	227	T	407
2008 Governor	11/11	7/11	18/22	81.8%	2	332	50	T	264
2008 Rep Primary	27/49	3/49	30/98	30.6%	1	-	128	T	235
2007 Governor	3/3	2/3	5/6	83.3%	1	182	58	T	167
2006 U.S. Senate	33/33	21/33	54/66	81.8%	16	2	65	T	465
2006 Governor	36/36	17/36	53/72	73.6%	11	6	93	T	312
Aggregate Predictions	423/473	224/473	647/946	68.4%