Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:62
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Prediction States Won
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Prediction Score (max Score = 112)
Analysis
I waffled a lot on Ohio and Wisconsin - I think both will end up being razor thin, but (unfortunately) I'm giving a slight edge to the President.
Prediction History
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Version: 57 I would love it if Ohio was called early for Obama, then Romney won Wisconsin to win the election...The reaction on the left would be priceless. Version: 55 A potential Romney victory without Ohio - NH isn't needed here either. Version: 54
Version: 49 I predict the election will come down to Virginia, Ohio, Wisconsin, and Iowa. Those will be the four closest states. Version: 48 Romney/Ryan vs Obama/Biden Version: 46 Obama/Biden vs. Romney/Ayotte Version: 41 My first map with Romney as the presumptive nominee! Version: 37 Romney/Martinez vs. Obama/Biden Version: 32 Why do people keep putting NH as red? Version: 31 Mitt Romney wins the GOP nomination and selects Jim Demint as his VP. Version: 25 A possible Perry/McDonnell vs. Obama/Biden map. Version: 24 Giuliani/Rubio vs. Obama/Biden Version: 22 Romney/Rubio vs. Obama/Biden Version: 21 Romney/Rubio vs. Obama/Biden Version: 18 Romney/McDonnell vs. Obama/Biden Version: 16 Obama/Biden vs. Perry/McDonnell Version: 15 At this point, I think a GOP-landslide is much more likely than an Obama-landslide. It appears America is headed into another recession, and I just can't see Obama being able to successfully defend his policies enough to be reelected with 70% of Americans believe our nation is on the wrong track. Version: 11 Order of State's Flipping: Version: 5 This is my map assuming there was absolutely no campaigning, and the election was today. Surprisingly enough, it a 269-269 tie. I think this scenario is also pretty realistic. Of course, the GOP nominee would win with this. Version: 4 Bachmann/Portman vs. Obama/Biden, with Obama's approval rating at 43% on election day. Version: 3 A narrow-Obama win scenario against Romney. 47% job approval. Version: 2 This is a Romney win right before it'd "break wide open". I wonder if New Jersey would become close at all if Christie was chosen as VP. Version: 1 My first prediction! :) It'll be interesting to look back on this prediction after the election and see how close I was - my bet is there will be one state I'm completely off on. Let's see which it is. ;)
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