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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-05 Version:62

Prediction Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction KeyConfidence Key
Prediction KeyConfidence Key

Confidence Map
tmthforu94 Map


Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem284
 
Rep254
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem223
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos124
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-5-1-75242284-75
Rep+5+1+75000222179+75
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
92483554
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

I waffled a lot on Ohio and Wisconsin - I think both will end up being razor thin, but (unfortunately) I'm giving a slight edge to the President.

124 EV's are listed as toss-up, and I truly believe all of those states could swing either way, so to say Obama has this in the bag is just silly. He certainly has more ways of winning, though.


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments

User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2014 Senate
P 2014 Governor
P 2013 Governor 2/2 1/2 3/4 75.0% pie 3 13 17T
P 2012 President 53/56 39/56 92/112 82.1% pie 62 1 435T
P 2012 Senate 30/33 17/33 47/66 71.2% pie 26 1 164T
P 2012 Governor 10/11 6/11 16/22 72.7% pie 14 1 89T
P 2012 Rep Primary 43/52 22/52 65/104 62.5% pie 43 - 22T
P 2011 Governor 4/4 1/4 5/8 62.5% pie 14 1 37T
P 2010 Senate 34/37 27/37 61/74 82.4% pie 128 1 34T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 25/37 58/74 78.4% pie 114 1 74T
P 2009 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 18 1 1T
P 2008 President 49/56 36/56 85/112 75.9% pie 67 1 357T
P 2008 Senate 32/33 19/33 51/66 77.3% pie 23 1 96T
P 2008 Governor 10/11 7/11 17/22 77.3% pie 16 1 86T
Aggregate Predictions 302/334 202/334 504/668 75.4% pie



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