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Date of Prediction: 2012-11-06 Version:90

Prediction Map
Scifiguy MapPrediction Key

Confidence Map
Scifiguy MapConfidence Key

Prediction States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem332
 
Rep206
 
Ind0
 
 

Confidence States Won
270 |
538 |
pie
Dem303
 
Rep191
 
Ind0
 
Tos44
 

State Pick-ups

Gain Loss Hold Net Gain
ST CD EV ST CD EV ST CD EV
Dem000-2-1-27272332-27
Rep+2+1+27000222179+27
Ind0000000000


Prediction Score (max Score = 112)

ScoreState WinsState PercentagesCD WinsCD Percentages
98513854
piepiepiepiepie

Analysis

NATIONAL POPULAR VOTE PREDICTION:

Obama/Biden - 48.77%
* Romney/Ryan - 49.05%
Others - 2.18%

ELECTORAL VOTE PREDICTION:

Obama/Biden - 332
Romney/Ryan - 206
Other - 0
______________________________________________________________

Alabama: 63% Romney, 36% Obama, 1% Other
Alaska: 56% Romney, 38% Obama, 6% Other
Arizona: 49% Romney, 46% Obama, 5% Other
Arkansas: 59% Romney, 39% Obama, 2% Other
California: 58% Obama, 40% Romney, 2% Other
Colorado: 49% Obama, 48% Romney, 3% Other
Connecticut: 56% Obama, 42% Romney, 2% Other
Delaware: 59% Obama, 38% Romney, 3% Other
District of Columbia: 93% Obama, 7% Other
Florida: 49.6% Obama, 49.4% Romney, 1% Other
Georgia: 53% Romney, 45% Obama, 2% Other
Hawaii: 67% Obama, 31% Romney, 2% Other
Idaho: 66% Romney, 33% Obama, 1% Other
Illinois: 59% Obama, 38% Romney, 3% Other
Indiana: 54% Romney, 44% Obama, 2% Other
Iowa: 50% Obama, 47% Romney, 3% Other
Kansas: 61% Romney, 38% Obama, 1% Other
Kentucky: 58% Romney, 40% Obama, 2% Other
Louisiana: 60% Romney, 38% Obama, 2% Other
Maryland: 61% Obama, 38% Romney, 1% Other
Massachusetts: 59% Obama, 39% Romney, 2% Other
Michigan: 52% Obama, 45% Romney, 3% Other
Minnesota: 54% Obama, 45% Romney, 1% Other
Mississippi: 61% Romney, 38% Obama, 1% Other
Missouri: 53% Romney, 46% Obama, 1% Other
Montana: 52% Romney, 46% Obama, 2% Other
Nevada: 50% Obama, 46% Romney, 4% Other
New Hampshire: 51% Obama, 47% Romney, 2% Other
New Jersey: 53% Obama, 44% Romney, 3% Other
New Mexico: 52% Obama, 39% Romney, 9% Other
New York: 60% Obama, 36% Romney, 4% Other
North Carolina: 49% Romney, 47% Obama, 2% Other
North Dakota: 57% Romney, 40% Obama, 3% Other
Ohio: 49% Obama, 47% Romney, 4% Other
Oklahoma: 64% Romney, 36% Obama
Oregon: 54% Obama, 44% Romney, 2% Other
Pennsylvania: 51% Obama, 46% Romney, 3% Other
Rhode Island: 60% Obama, 37% Romney, 3% Other
South Carolina: 55% Romney, 42% Obama, 3% Other
South Dakota: 56% Romney, 41% Obama, 3% Other
Tennessee: 57% Romney, 41% Obama, 2% Other
Texas: 56% Romney, 43% Obama, 1% Other
Utah: 72% Romney, 23% Obama, 5% Other
Vermont: 66% Obama, 30% Romney, 4% Other
Virginia: 49% Obama, 48% Romney, 3% Other
Washington: 55% Obama, 42% Romney, 3% Other
West Virginia: 58% Romney, 40% Obama, 2% Other
Wisconsin: 51% Obama, 47% Romney, 2% Other
Wyoming: 67% Romney, 30% Obama, 3% Other


Maine-AL: 55% Obama, 42% Romney, 3% Other
Maine-CD1: 58% Obama, 40% Romney, 2% Other
Maine-CD2: 52% Obama, 46% Romney, 2% Other

Nebraska-AL: 60% Romney, 39% Obama, 1% Other
Nebraska-CD1: 57% Romney, 41% Obama, 2% Other
Nebraska-CD2: 50% Romney, 46% Obama, 4% Other
Nebraska-CD3: 71% Romney, 28% Obama, 1% Other


Prediction History
Prediction Graph


Comments History - show

Version History


Member Comments
 By: Scifiguy (D-NY) 2012-11-06 @ 00:36:16 prediction Map
Florida could likely go either candidate's way, but fortunately, I don't think it will matter as much as it did 12 years ago.


User's Predictions

Prediction Score States Percent Total Accuracy Ver #D Rank
P 2016 President
P 2016 Senate /34 /34 /68 % pie
P 2016 Governor /12 /12 /24 % pie
P 2015 Governor /3 /3 /6 % pie
P 2014 Senate 34/36 26/36 60/72 83.3% pie 58 1 21T
P 2014 Governor 30/36 19/36 49/72 68.1% pie 40 1 56T
P 2013 Governor 2/2 2/2 4/4 100.0% pie 5 19 1T
P 2012 President 56/56 42/56 98/112 87.5% pie 90 0 182T
P 2012 Senate 31/33 22/33 53/66 80.3% pie 7 2 56T
P 2012 Governor 9/11 5/11 14/22 63.6% pie 3 15 157T
P 2012 Rep Primary 46/52 25/52 71/104 68.3% pie 99 - 4
P 2011 Governor 4/4 3/4 7/8 87.5% pie 5 44 2T
P 2010 Senate 35/37 24/37 59/74 79.7% pie 10 1 63T
P 2010 Governor 33/37 21/37 54/74 73.0% pie 10 1 130T
Aggregate Predictions 280/304 189/304 469/608 77.1% pie



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